https://chris-zeng.pages.dev/tags/soccer/ Recent content in Soccer on Chris Zeng Hugo en-us Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000 https://chris-zeng.pages.dev/posts/nutmeg/ Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000 https://chris-zeng.pages.dev/posts/nutmeg/ I built a soccer Elo model, put it in your browser, and then spent most of my effort trying to prove it could beat the bookmaker’s closing line. It can’t — and watching it fail taught me more about betting markets than any win would have.